I’ve predicted nine of the last five recessions!

Honestly, my instincts have saved my ass too many times, twice with really big decisions

When it comes to individuals, I’m pretty accurate, but for larger geopolitical moves, not so much. As a therapist in training, this does not displease me, lol.

Way too accurate and I don’t like it.

I’ve correctly predicted the result of every US & UK election (plus the brexit referendum) since 2016, based mostly on vibes

I won’t say 100%, but they’re generally pretty good. Big ones I can think of:

• They’re going to apply every attack against Kamala Harris that they did against Biden
• Trump is going to be infinitely worse for the Palestinians even than Biden was

The first is a little bit qualified I guess. I was somewhat against replacing Biden for that reason (definitely before the debate), which was absolutely a mistake. But I think in retrospect, the way that they were able to blame Kamala Harris for Gaza and inflation and make it work was pretty spot-on to what I predicted.

The second one, people were furiously telling me how wrong I was, how impossible it would be for anyone to be worse than Biden, and in early days saying that Trump had achieved a cease-fire and it was just proof of how easy it would have been if only Biden had put some slight effort to it.

Depends on what it is. So far I have a perfect track record for predicting tomorrow’s arrival.

I knew you would make this post 5 months ago…

I predict 1000 (mostly useless) things a day: the weather, coworker conversation topics, the next presidential scandal, etc…

But I only remember the big ones. Or the silly ones.

I’m still wrong most of the time.

This is why I do not gamble.

I got on both the Bitcoin and LLM trains really early. I was actually a bit premature in the collapse of the old US, although I’d like to be awarded points for even tracking it back when people thought normal would last forever.

There’s also a vast, vast number of things I know I can’t predict, though. Like what will happen in the very short term where I could actually speculate on things financially.

I have a few lists of predictions I’ve posted on here, we’ll see what they look like in a couple decades.