woodenghost [comrade/them]

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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: June 15th, 2024

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  • NATO supporters always claim, that as a sovereign nation, Ukraine should have the right to end the war on their own terms. To get together with Russia and say:“If you do this and that, then we’re happy and the fighting ends.” But, oh wait, that already happened years ago in 2022 when Russia and Ukraine practically had an agreement to make peace but NATO caused them to keep fighting. German, Turkish and Israeli mediators who were present at the negotiations all say that’s what happened. As does chief negotiator and leader of the ruling party in the Ukraine, David Arakhamia. They all agree, that NATO influence was what ultimately caused the deal to fall through. Is that what support looks like?






  • Yes and because C3 is a golden ball, you should confidently switch to the second door. Because now it’s just the Monty Hall problem with balls instead of goats. When the madman chose a door to opened, he deliberately chose a bad (mixed) door, otherwise he would have given away the correct location. The fact, that he opened the third instead of the second gives you new information, that you can take advantage of by switching, increasing your chances. Had the ball been silver, it might have been revealed to come from a bad door.

    Edit: damn I just realized he picked the ball from the first door, not the second. Okay in that case we might actually have to calculate probabilities, but I’m too lazy for that.












  • Outside of mating season, birds definitely do sing just for fun.

    And even in mating season, I wonder if birds really consciously try to “get laid” or if they just sing, because it feels like the right thing to do in the moment and then getting laid happens. I mean, some start singing very young. How would they know what it’s for the first time? Not all birds are as smart as crows.

    This review paper looks at the motivation for both kinds of singing: intrinsically motivated (just for fun, all year round) and singing that attracts mates. In the latter, it’s unclear, what triggers the motivation. The author supposes, it might be a combination of socially reinforced behavior and the vicinity of a mate, rather then the act of copulation, that triggers the reward.