This is just based on a survey of researchers (not even AI researchers specifically) where they were asked if they think it’ll happen or not and they gave anything from vague predictions to complete gut-feeling guesses back.
It’s a worthless article. Not that I even needed to click to find that out.
83% of statisticians polled say you cannot predict future events from the statistical results of an opinion poll, which means you can still make those predictions 17% of the time. Maybe this is one of that 17%?
+/-95%
“AI experts’ predictions should not be seen as a reliable guide to objective truth”
I like them odds
We’re good so long as nobody rolls a nat 1
What are the chances that it won’t cause extinction, but will just make things a bit (or maybe a lot) worse for a lot of people?
I don’t think any reasonable people are all that concerned with doomsday scenario as much as with the slow march towards a bullshit future.
So, 95% chance that humans will cause human extinction.
And humans created AI, so even if AI does in the human race, it will still have been humans.
I guess if humans go extinct, it’s close to 100% due to humans.
You have nothing to be afraid of, Dave.
Can it happen, maybe. Will it happen. Beats me, man.
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