• DeadHorseX@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      34
      arrow-down
      14
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      I’m not a libertarian, I’m a social democrat.

      The last century has been a total and unmitigated disaster for Argentina. The two options Argentinians had in this election were:

      1. More of the same by the guy who oversaw inflation reaching 160% (100% chance of things getting worse)
      2. A total wild card (99.9% chance of things getting worse)

      Unsurprisingly, they went for the latter. I don’t think anti-libertarians get to gloat in this context, given it’s the Argentinian establishment which has overseen one of the most remarkable examples of total state-collapse and economic failure in modern history.

      • Pipoca@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        11
        arrow-down
        2
        ·
        1 year ago

        The calculation shouldn’t be “chance of things getting worse”, but “expected value of how much worse it’ll get”.

      • ragica@lemmy.ml
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        8
        arrow-down
        3
        ·
        1 year ago

        I don’t actually know anything. But casually to me it looked like a choice between 160% chance of it getting worse and a 300% chance of getting worse. And it’s not very surprising at all in these circumstances many go for the latter for all sorts of reasons (and delusions). But I don’t actually know anything.

        • DeadHorseX@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          6
          arrow-down
          3
          ·
          1 year ago

          You should probably read at least a little about Argentina’s recent history before commenting then…

      • kromem@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        5
        ·
        1 year ago
        1. More of the same by the guy who oversaw inflation reaching 160% (100% chance of things getting worse)
        2. A total wild card (99.9% chance of things getting much worse)

        FTFY

      • Eldritch@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        5
        arrow-down
        5
        ·
        1 year ago

        That’s bad math. Yes, if you put the same people in office. There’s nearly 100% chance that they will continue doing what they have been doing. Good or bad. But if you put a lunatic with a grudge against reality in office. Who is aligned, or would align himself with the people who caused the problem before. You have 150% chance that things will get worse.

      • kromem@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        1
        ·
        edit-2
        1 year ago

        It’s the key ideological problem with the book. Rand was right that people do not inherently owe anyone else the fruits of their labor, but wrong about who was holding the world on their shoulders. It wasn’t the handful of elite, but the masses without whom the elite would be living in caves and running from bears.

        Who is John Galt? We the people are.

        And yes, throughout history pretty much every authoritarian regime ultimately collapses or sends their country back decades in progress by not knowing that lesson.

        Yet it never seems to actually be learned.

    • cyd@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      10
      arrow-down
      21
      ·
      edit-2
      1 year ago

      After a century of Peronism, the current state of Argentina isn’t a case study about libertarianism. Quite the opposite.