• Moidialectica [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      15
      ·
      edit-2
      19 hours ago

      Do people of Europe actually want war with Russia? Wasn’t there a whole scandal in Romania because of people explicitly not wanting to have war?

      if war starts, I can only imagine it’ll be Vietnam/Ukraine all over again, except in proper EU territory this time

    • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      33
      arrow-down
      51
      ·
      22 hours ago

      NATO can’t field an actual war against Russia, NATO countries don’t have the industrial capacity to do so. NATO has big scary tools, but not many of them, and in a protracted war where the industrial power wins Russia would win out. It would be very bloody, long, and NATO would lose, so it’s unlikely that there will be all-out war.

      • RepleteLocum@lemmy.blahaj.zone
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        2
        arrow-down
        6
        ·
        2 hours ago

        .ml loser coping. NATO would have air superiority within hours and crush your balls. You’re using drones instead of artillery and anti tank missiles because you’re so broke.

        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          5
          ·
          1 hour ago

          I’m not Russian, for one, and for two, drone warfare is used by all current conflicts because its cheap and extremely effective. Russia still produces tanks and artillery. I don’t know why people get so bloodthirsty, outright war between Russia and NATO is the last thing anyone should want.

        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          20
          arrow-down
          27
          ·
          20 hours ago

          They are steadily achieving all of their stated objectives for the SMO. Russia isn’t trying to do a Marvel-style total destruction of Ukraine like you see in hollywood depictions of war.

          • Tenderizer78@lemmy.ml
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            32
            arrow-down
            6
            ·
            19 hours ago

            Their goalposts have moved. Originally they attacked on all fronts including the capital and expected to topple Ukraine within a week.

            • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              18
              arrow-down
              30
              ·
              19 hours ago

              Their goalposts haven’t moved, their strategy was to open with shock and awe and then push for protracted war, taking advantage of surprise. They didn’t expect to topple Ukraine in a week, that’s largely a misquote from the early 2010s.

          • Prove_your_argument@piefed.social
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            13
            arrow-down
            9
            ·
            20 hours ago

            “steadily” as in… they complete one every couple of years? How long until they’re done? 10-20-30 years? They started this in 2014 and 11 years later they’ve accomplished next to nothing beyond creating a pile of bodies.

            If germany took this long to take poland it probably wouldn’t have been world war at all.

            • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              17
              arrow-down
              23
              ·
              20 hours ago

              The SMO started in 2022. In 2014, after the western-backed Euromaidan coup, Crimea was annexed but then there were multiple attempts to resolve things peacefully, called the Minsk Agreements, which Kiev broke both times. In 2014, Donetsk and Luhansk seceded from the new far-right led Ukraine, fastforward to 2022 after a decade of fighting and Russia agrees to go in and resolve things by force.

              Since 2022, Russia has steadily been gaining more and more territory, and has nearly completely taken the four oblasts they declared as their targets for annexation. Ukraine has slowly but steadily been losing ground, and NATO has proven to be incapable of matching Russian industrial output. Russia isn’t trying to do a Blitzkreig, they are going carefully to fully demillitarize Ukraine and prevent casualties on their own end. They have the industrial capacity to field a protracted war, so they are playing to their advantage.

              • manuallybreathing@lemmy.ml
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                3
                ·
                22 minutes ago

                Russia moved to take Crimea only after the Ukranian govt was couped by the USA, because there’s a Russian naval base on the Crimean peninsula

                being surprised by this is like saying the USA wouldn’t invade South Korea (or any of the 100s of states with US bases) if their govt was couped by another government

                as always, you’re more patient than I, comrade, I respect you immensely

                • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  2
                  ·
                  16 minutes ago

                  Yep, when it comes to Russia liberals start thinking about their actions, past, present, and future, in terms of how evil they are, rather than as another country. It’s always too weak yet too strong, always capable of steering foreign elections and taking on all of Europe but also about to collapse, etc. It’s tiring, because after the dust settles the liberal cope will always be that NATO didn’t support Ukraine enough for them to win, which will always be an unfalsifiable hypothesis.

                  And thanks, I appreciate it comrade!

              • fox2263@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                9
                arrow-down
                5
                ·
                20 hours ago

                I read a few articles that said at russias current pace it would take them a hundred years to take Ukraine.

                • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  14
                  arrow-down
                  11
                  ·
                  20 hours ago

                  They aren’t trying to take Ukraine, though, and they can progress faster as frontlines are broken through. Pokrovsk, as an example, is currently encircled by Russian forces and will probably be abandoned by Kiev soon, or a large-scale siege will occur.

                  Whether you’re pro-Ukrainian or not, it’s important to recognize that Ukraine is steadily losing ground and has far less staying power in a protracted war than Russia does. Russia’s advancing slowly and basically forcing a long-term war, which works in their favor.

                  • fox2263@lemmy.world
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    9
                    arrow-down
                    12
                    ·
                    20 hours ago

                    Shame Russia is doing so poorly after so long and with so many casualties. Plus their own economy is in the shitter. Having to import oil and gas now since their refineries seem to always be on fire. And pick up soldiers from Africa and Indonesia and let’s not forget North Korea.

                    Ukraine will fight to the last man

      • SreudianFlip@sh.itjust.works
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        15
        arrow-down
        9
        ·
        16 hours ago

        20th C thinking.

        • NATO countries would tool up fairly quickly on a war footing
        • strategic advantage is no longer about tanks and artillery, it’s about the next few generations of drones
        • dirty tricks haven’t even begun, really
        • energy capacity is at this weird turning point of shifting production options and efficiencies, makes predictions harder
        • Ukraine’s industrial capacity has changed to a war footing and they now export drones
        • a non-democratic Ukraine would be a risk as big as oligarchy Russia
        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          15
          arrow-down
          13
          ·
          edit-2
          16 hours ago

          NATO countries have hollowed out their industry for the last century, instead preferring to outsource production and plunder the world. Further, ballistic munitions are still useful, as are drones. There’s no realistic scenario where NATO countries can mobilize to full wartime economies, not with industry as hollowed out as it is.

          • AWistfulNihilist@lemmy.world
            link
            fedilink
            arrow-up
            8
            arrow-down
            8
            ·
            13 hours ago

            It’s cute you think the military industrial complex is so weak, or that the near moritorium on long range ballistcs hasn’t been incredibly beneficial to Russia.

            In reality, the second money starts pouring into a European war effort, all thoughts of AI will be gone, they’ll be pulling apart gpus for spare silicon for the war machine. That’s profit at an unbelievable scale.

            Like this almost feels like cope…

            • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              8
              arrow-down
              5
              ·
              9 hours ago

              The MIC runs on the profit motive, it’s far more expensive to develop comparable tools than compared to state-run industry, and the west has already holowed out its own industry.

              • AWistfulNihilist@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                arrow-up
                4
                arrow-down
                9
                ·
                edit-2
                8 hours ago

                Profit motive doesn’t equal capital investment. Watch how fast the machine moves when profit motive meets profit opportunity. I saw this hollowed out line repeated a whole bunch, your latest mantra?

                “There is no industry in Bah Sing Se”

                Unfortunately my recently rested and bathed friend, Russia is barely moving a war against a tiny nation getting scraps compared to even 1 day of munitions used killing Palestinians. It’s not even hard to debunk this one, you just sound silly.

                Wow, you’re so wrong in this you’re actually getting negative in your hugbox, that’s wild. Guess you can’t win em all.

                • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  8
                  arrow-down
                  5
                  ·
                  8 hours ago

                  Russia is steadily achieving their aims, they don’t need to rapidly advance because they aren’t trying to take all of Ukraine. They have the industrial capacity to be steady and thorough. Ukraine is putting up a fight, but can’t actually last for much longer.

                  Secondly, regarding the profit motive, it will always result in less efficient investment. Industry is hollowed out, and can’t be built overnight. Missiles, drones, etc cost far more to produce in the US than in Russia for comparable results.

                  • AWistfulNihilist@lemmy.world
                    link
                    fedilink
                    arrow-up
                    4
                    arrow-down
                    6
                    ·
                    8 hours ago

                    Comparable results AJAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAJAHAHAHAHAHA!

                    I’m sorry, I sneezed.

                    The fact that it’s lasted as long as it had is an incredible indictment of Russia. You are conflating the war time economy Russia has morphed into out of necessity because they’ve been so deadlocked. That’s not counting the battle and infrastructure damage they continue to suffer at the hands of a small nation with a comedian leader using acme tnt taped to drones.

                    Ukraine, a former nazi state using munitions that were used against them in WW2, required Russia to retool their entire industry to get the land equivalent of the parking lot of a Wendy’s.

                    No matter how you slice it, it’s pathetic. Frankly China will likely sell munitions to Nato when the money is there if it’s against Russia.

                    Like seriously, you realize how far off you are from reality here.

      • Hyper_red [she/her, she/her]@hexbear.net
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        12
        ·
        21 hours ago

        I think if NATO did go to war with Russia, it knows it has a much larger military and supposedly “better” equipment.

        I think they’d try to end it really quickly and either totally devestate russia quickly or take out their industry.

        But Israel-iran has showed that not even America has the ability to do an actual war against another industrial power

        • Evilsandwichman [none/use name]@hexbear.net
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          8
          ·
          18 hours ago

          I think if NATO did go to war with Russia, it knows it has a much larger military and supposedly “better” equipment.

          I think they’d try to end it really quickly and either totally devestate russia quickly or take out their industry.

          Okay wild fantasies aside, back here in the real world, what’s NATO supposed to actually do? If they try to ‘devastate’ Russia, as in attempt to turn it into Gaza, Russia will 100% nuke the offending countries seriously firing this kind of barrage against them. They’ve been reasonable against Ukraine because Ukraine has hardly been a threat (in fact most Russians would probably say too reasonable), but if a threat they’ve credibly been fearing for decades decided to pull out all the stops, so will they; NATO knows this which is why they weren’t officially in the war this whole time; the best time to be involved was literally day 1, the next best time was day 2, and so on and so forth.

          The simple fact is when Ukraine falls, the war is over; you want a country that was willing to risk their safety to get involved in a conflict? You have Yemen, they showed what a country willing to get bombed is willing to do; Euro countries don’t want to get bombed; Let me say that again: Euro countries don’t. want. to. get. bombed. All these countries in Europe had their chance to show how far they were willing to oppose Russia, back when Ukraine had a lot more people to throw in the meat grinder; there’s a lot less Ukrainians now who can and will fight, and Euro forces would have to bear the brunt of the fighting, and if they were willing to do this, they would’ve done it far earlier. Europe. Is. Scared. They won’t join this fight.

          When Ukraine falls, the war is over.

            • PolandIsAStateOfMind@lemmy.ml
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              4
              arrow-down
              1
              ·
              edit-2
              4 hours ago

              I love libs in this thread, some of them are like “Ukraine is winning” and some like “Russia will invade entire Europe”. They gained both takes by following the same propaganda.

        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          12
          ·
          21 hours ago

          If they had to, then they would try shock and awe. Protracted war wouldn’t work out, whoever has industry holds the cards long-term. Russia would go for stall tactics, I would think.

      • Diplomjodler@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        18
        arrow-down
        13
        ·
        18 hours ago

        Russia has had its ass kicked with western hand-me-downs. Once they roll out the real kit, the whole thing will be over within days.

        • Matty Roses@lemmygrad.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          8
          ·
          14 hours ago

          You’ll be greeted as liberators?

          Well, not YOU personally . . . Chickenhawks saying this crap never seem to make it to the front lines.

        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          17
          arrow-down
          15
          ·
          18 hours ago

          Russia is winning now, and hasn’t fielded the “real kit” either. NATO just does not have the productive capacity to field a long term war. I’m not sure why warmongers like yourself keep thinking there’s going to be a grand turning point, in a decade when we look back on this event I fear the warmongers will say they knew the outcome all along.

            • limer@lemmy.ml
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              6
              ·
              15 hours ago

              There is nothing militarily nato can do. Even if different countries wanted to help more and actually fielded armies, it would be a stalemate. Only a political solution will work.

                • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  4
                  arrow-down
                  4
                  ·
                  16 hours ago

                  Because it doesn’t have the power to take down an industrialized nuclear power like Russia in a short term war. I don’t see what you’re imagining here.

                  • IsoKiero@sopuli.xyz
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    6
                    arrow-down
                    4
                    ·
                    15 hours ago

                    Last time they tried our grandparents took 105 days to beat Russia with very little formal military and even less hardware. Sure, we had some help back then too, but today it’s on a whole different level. And we’re just a single small country up north, NATO as a whole is quite a bit bigger.

                    Russia currently has lost million soldiers and stockpiles of soviet relics are pretty much empty with a strong breeze away from total economy collapse. They don’t have power to conquer a potato field from a modern western country right now, much less against the whole global west.

            • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
              link
              fedilink
              arrow-up
              12
              arrow-down
              4
              ·
              edit-2
              15 hours ago

              Not at all, and I don’t think ableism is a substitute for a point. I want the war to end, which means peace talks now and concessions from Ukraine.

              • fox2263@lemmy.world
                link
                fedilink
                English
                arrow-up
                7
                arrow-down
                8
                ·
                15 hours ago

                Why should they concede anything. They’re a sovereign nation, and owe nothing. The war can end right now by Russia returning back whence it came.

                • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
                  link
                  fedilink
                  arrow-up
                  9
                  arrow-down
                  7
                  ·
                  15 hours ago

                  Because they are losing the war. The world does not run on Marvel-logic, Russia isn’t going to stop until their stated goals are met.

                  • rustyfish@piefed.world
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    4
                    arrow-down
                    9
                    ·
                    15 hours ago

                    Oh, now it’s a war again. Before that you called it a special military operation. At least you are learning. Slowly, but hey: baby steps.

                  • fox2263@lemmy.world
                    link
                    fedilink
                    English
                    arrow-up
                    5
                    arrow-down
                    6
                    ·
                    15 hours ago

                    They may be “losing”. But Russia isn’t entirely “winning” either.

      • sgtlion [any]@hexbear.net
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        edit-2
        17 hours ago

        Weren’t all these points equally valid when the West actively thrust Ukraine into war, too?

        You’re assuming NATO instead maybe cares about the lives of non-Ukrainians in Europe, I wouldn’t rely on that. We are all meat for the MIC profit blender. Winning or losing the war is almost irrelevant, no citizen of the core is safe so long as their deaths might make line go up in the short term.

        • Cowbee [he/they]@lemmy.ml
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          8
          arrow-down
          1
          ·
          17 hours ago

          Ukraine is an attack dog for NATO, and porkie would love to send workers to war, but not if it hurts their bottom line. That’s why they’ve tried to use proxies like Ukraine.